Thursday, February 21, 2013

Oscar Predictions

The Oscars are the biggest night of my year. It's the awards show that a movie junkie like me gears up for for months in advance. There are sports fans out there who spend all football/baseball/hockey season breaking down teams and players and making predictions on who will go to the Superbowl. Me? I do the same thing for movies and the Oscars. Awards season is an adrenaline rush. I follow the nominations, the smaller awards shows, pay attention to the statistics (only 3 movies have ever won Best Picture without a Best Director nom!), devour any Oscar-related article, track the momentum of each nominee, and work out the odds of who will go home with an Academy Award.

I watch the show for the fashion and host, sure. But I've also got my ballot in hand for each category (the one I spend hours agonizing over) and I sit, knee bouncing nervously, for the announcement of the winner... Best Picture or Best Animated Short, the weight of the category is the same to me. I don't always get to see every movie nominated, but I do my absolute best.

Basically, the Oscars are a BIG DEAL. And so, with the Big Night looming nigh, I figured I'd release my predictions to the general public. I'm not an expert by any means, and some of this is just my gut, but know that a lot of research and late nights went into this. I usually have about a 70% accuracy. This year's race is one of the most wide-open in recent memory. So far, the previous awards show winners are all over the place, and not as consistent as usual. This all makes for a very exciting (though stressful) show. So, without further ado...